These 7 States Will DECIDE the Next President

In the end, these states will decide the next president!

It is known that the election is all about the people’s will; some states will decide the next president! And while this sounds non-democratic, what we mean by this is that some states have always been the ones to count more.

These states have been known to be battlegrounds, and losing or winning them can make the difference between a win or a loss for any presidential candidate. Sure, you can count on some states as red or blue, but these swing states have always been unpredictable!

A lot is riding on the couple hundred thousand voters who are residents of these states, so let’s take a closer look at them.

We’ll see how many electoral college votes each state has and how they voted in 2020, and take a look at the recent survey and polls conducted to see if we can predict how this election is going to turn out.

In the end, you can never tell how swing states will vote, but taking a closer look at the data and facts can help us form a better picture.

Keep on reading to discover the swing states and their importance!

NOTE: The polls and their results are all before President Joe Biden has announced he is dropping out of the presidential race.

Arizona – 11 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

Arizona was once a Republican stronghold, but over the years and with the changing demographic, Arizona has since become a swing state and a battleground, as no one could expect.

They have developed a strong Democrat population in the last few years as the state has voted blue in the 2020 election, making Joe Biden the second Democrat presidential candidate to win in the Senate in seven decades!

Despite this, the polls suggest that the Grand Canyon state may return to its origins and turn red this year.

In a poll conducted between July 16th and July 18th, Donald Trump was ahead of Joe Biden by a few points, making their percentages 44% to 40%.

While the gap exists, it is not that big but still shows a preference for Trump.

An earlier poll (15–16 July) had Trump with a higher percentage over Biden (49% to 44%), but it also showed him ahead of Kamala Harris, with 48% to her 42%.

The race is bound to be tight here!

Michigan – 15 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

Michigan is a key part of the “rust belt” states, and it is also the home state of Democrat governor Gretchen Whitmer, who is considered a star Democrat!

However, Michigan has always been a swing state; back in 2016, the state was won by Donald Trump, only for the Great Lakes state to be flipped by Joe Biden in 2020.

This proves to continue, as the polls suggest that Michigan might flip again despite turning blue last election.

In the polls between July 17 and 18, Donald Trump was ahead of Joe Biden by 49% to 46%, and even when we look at the hypothetical matchup with Joe Biden’s endorsement, he is also ahead of Kamala Harris by 46% to 41%.

Despite these numbers, it seems like the government is popular with the people; in the hypothetical showdown between Gretchen Whitmer and Donald Trump, she would have won with a point difference of 46% to 45%.

We never know what history has in store for us, so Michigan is a state to keep our eyes on.

Georgia – 16 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

With 16 votes in the Electoral College, it seems like Georgia has always been a swing state, especially when Joe Biden has hoped to win here in 2020.

One of the biggest winds for the current president, Atlanta’s growing suburbs have been credited with the fact that they managed to make the state switch to blue and get the Democratic presidential nominee the win in almost three decades.

It was a tight race as Biden won with less than 13,000 votes, but a significant one since the election was the switch with the senate seats as well since the Democrats won those too.

Georgia has been one of the states that were full of election deniers, so it is one of the states that will have a lot of eyes on it during this election.

The polls have shown that Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden, with the last numbers looking something like 45% to 40%. In the hypothetical matchup with Kamala Harris, the Republican seems to definitely be in the lead, 47% to 37%.

Time will tell with Georgia, but we may see a return to their roots.

North Carolina – 16 Electoral College votes

• Republican in 2020

The Tar Heel state seems to be a battleground that both parties want to get, and it is no surprise given the amount of electoral college votes the state has.

In 2020, Donald Trump narrowly won with less than 100,000 in the majority. It may seem like a lot, but when you take into consideration the over 10 million citizens of this state, the number suddenly seems small.

North Carolina was one of the election sorrows for Joe Biden since, before the actual election, the polls had shown that he was the favorite candidate in the state.

This time, it seems like the results continue to be akin to the results of the 2020 election when it comes to the polls.

The poll between July 16 and 18 shows that the relationship between Trump and Biden has the 45th president in the lead pretty well, with 45% for Trump ahead of Biden’s 39%.

And over time, while polls show that the gap is lessening (in a previous poll, Trump had 47%), it does not seem like the state will flip.

It all depends on the new Democrat nominee to see if this state will flip, but we can always end up seeing a surprise, much like in 2022, when the surveys were not accurate in their predictions.

Nevada – 6 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

Nevada is always a wild card, mostly due to the fact that it is mostly a rural state.

The population is concentrated mostly in two counties, and despite the small number of Electoral College votes, the state has always been a surprise with each election.

The poll showed that the state is favorable to the Republicans, with Trump in the lead (44%), when compared to Biden (41%).

However, the poll also tested the hypothetical with Kamala Harris despite not knowing what would happen, and it shows that Donald Trump is way ahead of her with 50% or 40%.

It seems like the Democratic Party will have to work hard if they wish to swing this state.

Wisconsin – 10 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

Wisconsin was a tight win for the Democrats last time, and it seems like this state will turn out to be a huge battleground again.

In 2020, the race was tight, but Joe Biden managed to win here with 20,000 votes. It seems like both parties have their work cut out for them.

What is surprising about Wisconsin is that they have managed to predict the nationwide winner each year since 2008—their backed candidate has been winning ever since. Will they be able to predict this year’s winner too?

One poll has Biden and Trump tied for the lead in this battleground state with 42%, while another has Trump in the lead over Biden with about 3 percent.

Pennsylvania – 19 Electoral College votes

• Democrat in 2020

Pennsylvania is one of the most sought-after battleground states, particularly due to the substantial number of Electoral College votes it carries.

Part of the “rust belt” states Pennsylvania was Joe Biden’s home state, and he managed to win it in the last election. In this election, however, the stakes seem to be pretty high since there is another name thrown in the mix that could disrupt the peace.

Democrat star Josh Shapiro, who is the state governor, is a key figure in the Democrat Party and also very popular with the crown in this state.

When looking at Trump versus Biden, it seems like Trump has won in different polls over Biden, 45% to 41% and 46% to 42%.

However, when we add Shapiro vs. Trump, the scales turn, with Shapiro getting 47% over Trump’s 43%.

And when we look at Trump vs. Harris in this state, the republic manages to win, but only marginally, 54% to 43%, making Harris’ chances better than Biden’s were.

No matter which of the candidates you are going to be voting for, you need to make sure you use your right to vote. Check out if you are registered to vote on this website here.

If you are not sure yet, make sure you check out the presidential debate that took place earlier this summer. While the nominees may have changed, the debate still shows what one of the candidates believes and what some of the most important key points are. Check out the most important takeaways here!